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Friday, February 27, 2009

MEMPERKIRAKAN HARGA JUAL BIODIESEL DI TAHUN 2009 UNTUK PENYUSUNAN RENCANA ANGGARAN PERUSAHAAN

Harga jual Biodiesel sangat dipengaruhi oleh harga minyak bumi. Secara umum kecenderungan harga CPO (chart dibawah) mengikuti kenaikan dan penurunan harga minyak bumi (chart diatas). Namun di tahun 2007 antara bulan Mei s/d September terjadi semacam "spike" dimana harga CPO melonjak diatas kecenderungan harga minyak bumi.

Kejadian "spike" tersebut juga terjadi antara Januari s/d Maret 2008. Pada saat spike tersebut, maka harga CPO jauh diatas harga minyak bumi, artinya memproduksi Biodiesel akan merugi. Kecenderungan serupa juga mulai tampak di awal tahun 2009. Ketidak-teraturan pasar ini yang menyebabkan salah satu kesulitan memprediksi keuntungan memproduksi Biodiesel.

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